Locorr Macro Strategies Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.67

LFMCX Fund  USD 7.29  0.02  0.27%   
Locorr Macro's future price is the expected price of Locorr Macro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Locorr Macro Strategies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Locorr Macro Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Locorr Macro Correlation, Locorr Macro Hype Analysis, Locorr Macro Volatility, Locorr Macro History as well as Locorr Macro Performance.
  
Please specify Locorr Macro's target price for which you would like Locorr Macro odds to be computed.

Locorr Macro Target Price Odds to finish over 7.67

The tendency of Locorr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.67  or more in 90 days
 7.29 90 days 7.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Locorr Macro to move over $ 7.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Locorr Macro Strategies probability density function shows the probability of Locorr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Locorr Macro Strategies price to stay between its current price of $ 7.29  and $ 7.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Locorr Macro Strategies has a beta of -0.0149. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Locorr Macro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Locorr Macro Strategies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Locorr Macro Strategies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Locorr Macro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Locorr Macro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Locorr Macro Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Locorr Macro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.907.297.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.907.297.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.917.307.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.277.307.33
Details

Locorr Macro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Locorr Macro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Locorr Macro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Locorr Macro Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Locorr Macro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

Locorr Macro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Locorr Macro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Locorr Macro Strategies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.42% of its assets in cash

Locorr Macro Technical Analysis

Locorr Macro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Locorr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Locorr Macro Strategies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Locorr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Locorr Macro Predictive Forecast Models

Locorr Macro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Locorr Macro's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Locorr Macro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Locorr Macro Strategies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Locorr Macro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Locorr Macro Strategies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.42% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Locorr Mutual Fund

Locorr Macro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Locorr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Locorr with respect to the benefits of owning Locorr Macro security.
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