Lavras Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.85
| LGCFF Stock | USD 1.70 0.05 3.03% |
Lavras |
Lavras Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 1.85
The tendency of Lavras OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.85 after 90 days |
| 1.70 | 90 days | 1.85 | about 66.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lavras Gold to stay under $ 1.85 after 90 days from now is about 66.41 (This Lavras Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lavras OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lavras Gold Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 1.70 and $ 1.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lavras Gold has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Lavras Gold Corp market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lavras Gold is expected to follow. Additionally Lavras Gold Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lavras Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lavras Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lavras Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lavras Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lavras Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lavras Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lavras Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lavras Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Lavras Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lavras Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lavras Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lavras Gold Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lavras Gold Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (201.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has accumulated about 7.97 M in cash with (235.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. |
Lavras Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lavras OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lavras Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lavras Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 24.4 M |
Lavras Gold Technical Analysis
Lavras Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lavras OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lavras Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lavras OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lavras Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Lavras Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lavras Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lavras Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lavras Gold Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lavras Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lavras Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lavras Gold Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lavras Gold Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (201.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lavras Gold Corp has accumulated about 7.97 M in cash with (235.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. |
Other Information on Investing in Lavras OTC Stock
Lavras Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lavras OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lavras with respect to the benefits of owning Lavras Gold security.