Lion Group Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.30
| LGHL Stock | USD 0.14 0.02 12.50% |
Lion |
Lion Group Target Price Odds to finish over 18.30
The tendency of Lion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.30 or more in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 18.30 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lion Group to move over $ 18.30 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lion Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Lion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lion Group Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 0.14 and $ 18.30 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lion Group Holding has a beta of -0.66. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lion Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lion Group Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lion Group Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lion Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lion Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lion Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lion Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lion Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lion Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lion Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lion Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Lion Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lion Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lion Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lion Group Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lion Group Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lion Group Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lion Group Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.26 M. | |
| Lion Group Holding currently holds about 31 M in cash with (12.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.66, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lion Group Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Lion Group schedules annual shareholder meeting |
Lion Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lion Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lion Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.5 M |
Lion Group Technical Analysis
Lion Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lion Group Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lion Group Predictive Forecast Models
Lion Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lion Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lion Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lion Group Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lion Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lion Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lion Group Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lion Group Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lion Group Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lion Group Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.26 M. | |
| Lion Group Holding currently holds about 31 M in cash with (12.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.66, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lion Group Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Lion Group schedules annual shareholder meeting |
Check out Lion Group Backtesting, Lion Group Valuation, Lion Group Correlation, Lion Group Hype Analysis, Lion Group Volatility, Lion Group History as well as Lion Group Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lion Group. If investors know Lion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lion Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share (5.81) | Revenue Per Share 7.671 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 11.289 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Lion Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lion Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lion Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lion Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lion Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lion Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lion Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lion Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.