Locorr Hedged Core Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.78
| LHEAX Fund | 9.63 0.04 0.42% |
Locorr |
Locorr Hedged Target Price Odds to finish below 8.78
The tendency of Locorr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.78 or more in 90 days |
| 9.63 | 90 days | 8.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Locorr Hedged to drop to 8.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Locorr Hedged Core probability density function shows the probability of Locorr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Locorr Hedged Core price to stay between 8.78 and its current price of 9.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Locorr Hedged Core has a beta of -0.0079. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Locorr Hedged are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Locorr Hedged Core is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Locorr Hedged Core has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Locorr Hedged Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Locorr Hedged
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Locorr Hedged Core. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Locorr Hedged. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Locorr Hedged's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Locorr Hedged's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Locorr Hedged Core.Locorr Hedged Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Locorr Hedged is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Locorr Hedged's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Locorr Hedged Core, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Locorr Hedged within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0079 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.46 |
Locorr Hedged Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Locorr Hedged for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Locorr Hedged Core can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Locorr Hedged Core generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Locorr Hedged Technical Analysis
Locorr Hedged's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Locorr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Locorr Hedged Core. In general, you should focus on analyzing Locorr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Locorr Hedged Predictive Forecast Models
Locorr Hedged's time-series forecasting models is one of many Locorr Hedged's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Locorr Hedged's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Locorr Hedged Core
Checking the ongoing alerts about Locorr Hedged for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Locorr Hedged Core help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Locorr Hedged Core generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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