Lohakit Metal (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.93
| LHK Stock | THB 3.92 0.02 0.51% |
Lohakit |
Lohakit Metal Target Price Odds to finish below 3.93
The tendency of Lohakit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.93 after 90 days |
| 3.92 | 90 days | 3.93 | about 58.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lohakit Metal to stay under 3.93 after 90 days from now is about 58.76 (This Lohakit Metal Public probability density function shows the probability of Lohakit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lohakit Metal Public price to stay between its current price of 3.92 and 3.93 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lohakit Metal Public has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lohakit Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lohakit Metal Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lohakit Metal Public has an alpha of 0.143, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lohakit Metal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lohakit Metal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lohakit Metal Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lohakit Metal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lohakit Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lohakit Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lohakit Metal Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lohakit Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Lohakit Metal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lohakit Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lohakit Metal Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lohakit Metal Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lohakit Metal Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lohakit Metal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lohakit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lohakit Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lohakit Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 145.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 57 M |
Lohakit Metal Technical Analysis
Lohakit Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lohakit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lohakit Metal Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lohakit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lohakit Metal Predictive Forecast Models
Lohakit Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lohakit Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lohakit Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lohakit Metal Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lohakit Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lohakit Metal Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lohakit Metal Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lohakit Metal Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lohakit Stock
Lohakit Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lohakit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lohakit with respect to the benefits of owning Lohakit Metal security.