LH Shopping (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.3

LHSC Stock  THB 11.30  0.10  0.89%   
LH Shopping's future price is the expected price of LH Shopping instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LH Shopping Centers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LH Shopping Backtesting, LH Shopping Valuation, LH Shopping Correlation, LH Shopping Hype Analysis, LH Shopping Volatility, LH Shopping History as well as LH Shopping Performance.
  
Please specify LH Shopping's target price for which you would like LH Shopping odds to be computed.

LH Shopping Target Price Odds to finish below 11.3

The tendency of LHSC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 11.30 90 days 11.30 
about 84.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LH Shopping to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 84.88 (This LH Shopping Centers probability density function shows the probability of LHSC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LH Shopping has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LH Shopping average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LH Shopping Centers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LH Shopping Centers has an alpha of 0.1814, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LH Shopping Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LH Shopping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LH Shopping Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6911.3012.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3710.9812.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.3710.9812.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0811.2411.40
Details

LH Shopping Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LH Shopping is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LH Shopping's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LH Shopping Centers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LH Shopping within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

LH Shopping Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LH Shopping for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LH Shopping Centers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 381.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.22 M.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

LH Shopping Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LHSC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LH Shopping's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LH Shopping's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding488.1 M

LH Shopping Technical Analysis

LH Shopping's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LHSC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LH Shopping Centers. In general, you should focus on analyzing LHSC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LH Shopping Predictive Forecast Models

LH Shopping's time-series forecasting models is one of many LH Shopping's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LH Shopping's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LH Shopping Centers

Checking the ongoing alerts about LH Shopping for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LH Shopping Centers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 381.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.22 M.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in LHSC Stock

LH Shopping financial ratios help investors to determine whether LHSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LHSC with respect to the benefits of owning LH Shopping security.