Lindab International (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 225.68

LIAB Stock  SEK 227.60  0.40  0.18%   
Lindab International's future price is the expected price of Lindab International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lindab International AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lindab International Backtesting, Lindab International Valuation, Lindab International Correlation, Lindab International Hype Analysis, Lindab International Volatility, Lindab International History as well as Lindab International Performance.
  
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Lindab International Target Price Odds to finish over 225.68

The tendency of Lindab Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 225.68  in 90 days
 227.60 90 days 225.68 
about 88.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lindab International to stay above kr 225.68  in 90 days from now is about 88.45 (This Lindab International AB probability density function shows the probability of Lindab Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lindab International price to stay between kr 225.68  and its current price of kr227.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lindab International has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lindab International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lindab International AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lindab International AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lindab International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lindab International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lindab International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
225.14227.60230.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
204.84238.70241.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
216.87219.33221.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
221.25229.12236.99
Details

Lindab International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lindab International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lindab International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lindab International AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lindab International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
21.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Lindab International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lindab International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lindab International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lindab International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Lindab International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lindab Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lindab International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lindab International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments542 M

Lindab International Technical Analysis

Lindab International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lindab Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lindab International AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lindab Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lindab International Predictive Forecast Models

Lindab International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lindab International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lindab International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lindab International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lindab International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lindab International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lindab International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Lindab Stock Analysis

When running Lindab International's price analysis, check to measure Lindab International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lindab International is operating at the current time. Most of Lindab International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lindab International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lindab International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lindab International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.