Lifco AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 320.8

LIFCO-B Stock  SEK 331.00  9.40  2.92%   
Lifco AB's future price is the expected price of Lifco AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lifco AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lifco AB Backtesting, Lifco AB Valuation, Lifco AB Correlation, Lifco AB Hype Analysis, Lifco AB Volatility, Lifco AB History as well as Lifco AB Performance.
  
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Lifco AB Target Price Odds to finish below 320.8

The tendency of Lifco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 320.80  or more in 90 days
 331.00 90 days 320.80 
about 24.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifco AB to drop to kr 320.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 24.77 (This Lifco AB probability density function shows the probability of Lifco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifco AB price to stay between kr 320.80  and its current price of kr331.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lifco AB has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lifco AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lifco AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lifco AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lifco AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lifco AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifco AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
320.03321.60323.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
321.23322.80324.37
Details

Lifco AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifco AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifco AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifco AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifco AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
8.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Lifco AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifco AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifco AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifco AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lifco AB has accumulated 3.23 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lifco AB has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lifco AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lifco AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lifco AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lifco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lifco AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 51.0% of Lifco AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lifco AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lifco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lifco AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifco AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding454.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Lifco AB Technical Analysis

Lifco AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifco AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lifco AB Predictive Forecast Models

Lifco AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifco AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifco AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lifco AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifco AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifco AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifco AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lifco AB has accumulated 3.23 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lifco AB has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lifco AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lifco AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lifco AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lifco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lifco AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 51.0% of Lifco AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lifco Stock

Lifco AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lifco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lifco with respect to the benefits of owning Lifco AB security.