Labrador Iron Ore Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 20.77

LIFZF Stock  USD 21.43  0.15  0.70%   
Labrador Iron's future price is the expected price of Labrador Iron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Labrador Iron Ore performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Labrador Iron Backtesting, Labrador Iron Valuation, Labrador Iron Correlation, Labrador Iron Hype Analysis, Labrador Iron Volatility, Labrador Iron History as well as Labrador Iron Performance.
  
Please specify Labrador Iron's target price for which you would like Labrador Iron odds to be computed.

Labrador Iron Target Price Odds to finish below 20.77

The tendency of Labrador Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.77  or more in 90 days
 21.43 90 days 20.77 
about 11.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Labrador Iron to drop to $ 20.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.23 (This Labrador Iron Ore probability density function shows the probability of Labrador Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Labrador Iron Ore price to stay between $ 20.77  and its current price of $21.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Labrador Iron Ore has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Labrador Iron are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Labrador Iron Ore is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Labrador Iron Ore has an alpha of 0.0534, implying that it can generate a 0.0534 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Labrador Iron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Labrador Iron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Labrador Iron Ore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9421.4322.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9218.4123.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1921.6823.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4121.0621.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Labrador Iron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Labrador Iron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Labrador Iron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Labrador Iron Ore.

Labrador Iron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Labrador Iron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Labrador Iron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Labrador Iron Ore, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Labrador Iron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Labrador Iron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Labrador Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Labrador Iron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Labrador Iron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64 M

Labrador Iron Technical Analysis

Labrador Iron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Labrador Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Labrador Iron Ore. In general, you should focus on analyzing Labrador Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Labrador Iron Predictive Forecast Models

Labrador Iron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Labrador Iron's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Labrador Iron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Labrador Iron in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Labrador Iron's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Labrador Iron options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Labrador Pink Sheet

Labrador Iron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Labrador Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Labrador with respect to the benefits of owning Labrador Iron security.