Liontown Resources Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01

LINRF Stock  USD 0.49  0.02  3.92%   
Liontown Resources' future price is the expected price of Liontown Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liontown Resources Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Liontown Resources Backtesting, Liontown Resources Valuation, Liontown Resources Correlation, Liontown Resources Hype Analysis, Liontown Resources Volatility, Liontown Resources History as well as Liontown Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Liontown Resources' target price for which you would like Liontown Resources odds to be computed.

Liontown Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Liontown Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.49 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liontown Resources to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Liontown Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Liontown Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liontown Resources price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Liontown Resources Limited has a beta of -0.63. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liontown Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liontown Resources Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liontown Resources Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Liontown Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liontown Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liontown Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.495.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.425.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.485.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.480.500.52
Details

Liontown Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liontown Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liontown Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liontown Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liontown Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Liontown Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liontown Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liontown Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liontown Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Liontown Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Liontown Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Liontown Resources Limited has accumulated about 453.08 M in cash with (47.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Liontown Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liontown Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liontown Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liontown Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B

Liontown Resources Technical Analysis

Liontown Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liontown Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liontown Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liontown Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liontown Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Liontown Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Liontown Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liontown Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liontown Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liontown Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liontown Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liontown Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Liontown Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Liontown Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Liontown Resources Limited has accumulated about 453.08 M in cash with (47.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Liontown Pink Sheet

Liontown Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liontown Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liontown with respect to the benefits of owning Liontown Resources security.