Empresas Lipigas (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3699.5
| LIPIGAS Stock | 3,890 60.60 1.58% |
Empresas |
Empresas Lipigas Target Price Odds to finish below 3699.5
The tendency of Empresas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3,700 or more in 90 days |
| 3,890 | 90 days | 3,700 | about 60.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empresas Lipigas to drop to 3,700 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.7 (This Empresas Lipigas SA probability density function shows the probability of Empresas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Empresas Lipigas price to stay between 3,700 and its current price of 3890.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Empresas Lipigas has a beta of 0.014. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Empresas Lipigas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Empresas Lipigas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Empresas Lipigas SA has an alpha of 0.1504, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Empresas Lipigas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Empresas Lipigas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empresas Lipigas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Empresas Lipigas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empresas Lipigas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empresas Lipigas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empresas Lipigas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empresas Lipigas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 111.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Empresas Lipigas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empresas Lipigas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empresas Lipigas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Empresas Lipigas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empresas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empresas Lipigas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empresas Lipigas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.6 M |
Empresas Lipigas Technical Analysis
Empresas Lipigas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Empresas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Empresas Lipigas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Empresas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Empresas Lipigas Predictive Forecast Models
Empresas Lipigas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Empresas Lipigas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Empresas Lipigas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Empresas Lipigas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Empresas Lipigas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Empresas Lipigas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Empresas Stock Analysis
When running Empresas Lipigas' price analysis, check to measure Empresas Lipigas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empresas Lipigas is operating at the current time. Most of Empresas Lipigas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empresas Lipigas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empresas Lipigas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empresas Lipigas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.