Lipum AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.16

LIPUM Stock  SEK 16.70  0.40  2.34%   
Lipum AB's future price is the expected price of Lipum AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lipum AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lipum AB Backtesting, Lipum AB Valuation, Lipum AB Correlation, Lipum AB Hype Analysis, Lipum AB Volatility, Lipum AB History as well as Lipum AB Performance.
  
Please specify Lipum AB's target price for which you would like Lipum AB odds to be computed.

Lipum AB Target Price Odds to finish over 21.16

The tendency of Lipum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 21.16  or more in 90 days
 16.70 90 days 21.16 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lipum AB to move over kr 21.16  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lipum AB probability density function shows the probability of Lipum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lipum AB price to stay between its current price of kr 16.70  and kr 21.16  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lipum AB has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lipum AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lipum AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lipum AB has an alpha of 0.4872, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lipum AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lipum AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lipum AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1916.7020.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0115.5219.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1417.6521.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4714.4516.44
Details

Lipum AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lipum AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lipum AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lipum AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lipum AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Lipum AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lipum AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lipum AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lipum AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (52.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (48.69 M).
Lipum AB generates negative cash flow from operations
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lipum AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lipum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lipum AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lipum AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47.1 M
Shares Float3.6 M

Lipum AB Technical Analysis

Lipum AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lipum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lipum AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lipum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lipum AB Predictive Forecast Models

Lipum AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lipum AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lipum AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lipum AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lipum AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lipum AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lipum AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (52.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (48.69 M).
Lipum AB generates negative cash flow from operations
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Lipum Stock Analysis

When running Lipum AB's price analysis, check to measure Lipum AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lipum AB is operating at the current time. Most of Lipum AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lipum AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lipum AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lipum AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.