Litigation Capital (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.87

LIT Stock   115.75  0.75  0.65%   
Litigation Capital's future price is the expected price of Litigation Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Litigation Capital Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Litigation Capital Backtesting, Litigation Capital Valuation, Litigation Capital Correlation, Litigation Capital Hype Analysis, Litigation Capital Volatility, Litigation Capital History as well as Litigation Capital Performance.
  
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Litigation Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 106.87

The tendency of Litigation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  106.87  or more in 90 days
 115.75 90 days 106.87 
about 53.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Litigation Capital to drop to  106.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.2 (This Litigation Capital Management probability density function shows the probability of Litigation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Litigation Capital price to stay between  106.87  and its current price of 115.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Litigation Capital has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Litigation Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Litigation Capital Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Litigation Capital Management has an alpha of 0.1543, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Litigation Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Litigation Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Litigation Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.62115.31118.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.06109.75127.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.35115.04117.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
114.11115.46116.81
Details

Litigation Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Litigation Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Litigation Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Litigation Capital Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Litigation Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
7.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Litigation Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Litigation Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Litigation Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 25th of October 2024 Litigation Capital paid 0.0125 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Litigation Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Litigation Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Litigation Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Litigation Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments533.3 M

Litigation Capital Technical Analysis

Litigation Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Litigation Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Litigation Capital Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Litigation Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Litigation Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Litigation Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Litigation Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Litigation Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Litigation Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Litigation Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Litigation Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 25th of October 2024 Litigation Capital paid 0.0125 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Other Information on Investing in Litigation Stock

Litigation Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Litigation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Litigation with respect to the benefits of owning Litigation Capital security.