Lake Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.044

LKE Stock   0.04  0  2.22%   
Lake Resources' future price is the expected price of Lake Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lake Resources NL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lake Resources Backtesting, Lake Resources Valuation, Lake Resources Correlation, Lake Resources Hype Analysis, Lake Resources Volatility, Lake Resources History as well as Lake Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Lake Resources' target price for which you would like Lake Resources odds to be computed.

Lake Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.044

The tendency of Lake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 68.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lake Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.81 (This Lake Resources NL probability density function shows the probability of Lake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lake Resources NL has a beta of -0.0519. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lake Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lake Resources NL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lake Resources NL has an alpha of 0.2975, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lake Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lake Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lake Resources NL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.045.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.045.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0075-0.00250.00
Details

Lake Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lake Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lake Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lake Resources NL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lake Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Lake Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lake Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lake Resources NL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lake Resources NL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lake Resources NL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 21.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.7 M.
Lake Resources NL has accumulated about 62.85 M in cash with (39.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lake Resources Spotlights Kachi Project Progress - TipRanks

Lake Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lake Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lake Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments22.9 M

Lake Resources Technical Analysis

Lake Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lake Resources NL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lake Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Lake Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lake Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lake Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lake Resources NL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lake Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lake Resources NL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lake Resources NL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lake Resources NL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 21.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.7 M.
Lake Resources NL has accumulated about 62.85 M in cash with (39.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lake Resources Spotlights Kachi Project Progress - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Lake Stock Analysis

When running Lake Resources' price analysis, check to measure Lake Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lake Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Lake Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lake Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lake Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lake Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.