Luckin Coffee Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.21
| LKNCYDelisted Stock | USD 26.76 0.74 2.84% |
Luckin |
Luckin Coffee Target Price Odds to finish over 21.21
The tendency of Luckin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 21.21 in 90 days |
| 26.76 | 90 days | 21.21 | about 76.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luckin Coffee to stay above $ 21.21 in 90 days from now is about 76.6 (This Luckin Coffee probability density function shows the probability of Luckin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luckin Coffee price to stay between $ 21.21 and its current price of $26.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Luckin Coffee has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Luckin Coffee are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Luckin Coffee is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Luckin Coffee has an alpha of 0.1627, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Luckin Coffee Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luckin Coffee
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luckin Coffee. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Luckin Coffee's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Luckin Coffee Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luckin Coffee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luckin Coffee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luckin Coffee, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luckin Coffee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Luckin Coffee Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luckin Coffee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luckin Coffee can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luckin Coffee is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Luckin Coffee has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Luckin Coffee Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luckin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luckin Coffee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luckin Coffee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 267 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 B |
Luckin Coffee Technical Analysis
Luckin Coffee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luckin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luckin Coffee. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luckin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luckin Coffee Predictive Forecast Models
Luckin Coffee's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luckin Coffee's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luckin Coffee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luckin Coffee
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luckin Coffee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luckin Coffee help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Luckin Coffee is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Luckin Coffee has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Luckin Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Luckin Coffee check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Luckin Coffee's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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