Lkcm Small Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.97

LKSMX Fund  USD 12.29  0.15  1.24%   
Lkcm Small-mid's future price is the expected price of Lkcm Small-mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lkcm Small Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lkcm Small-mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lkcm Small-mid Correlation, Lkcm Small-mid Hype Analysis, Lkcm Small-mid Volatility, Lkcm Small-mid History as well as Lkcm Small-mid Performance.
  
Please specify Lkcm Small-mid's target price for which you would like Lkcm Small-mid odds to be computed.

Lkcm Small-mid Target Price Odds to finish below 10.97

The tendency of Lkcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.97  or more in 90 days
 12.29 90 days 10.97 
about 47.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lkcm Small-mid to drop to $ 10.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.45 (This Lkcm Small Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Lkcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lkcm Small Mid price to stay between $ 10.97  and its current price of $12.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lkcm Small-mid will likely underperform. Additionally Lkcm Small Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.1098, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lkcm Small-mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lkcm Small-mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lkcm Small Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3012.2913.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0813.0714.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1012.0913.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1012.2412.38
Details

Lkcm Small-mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lkcm Small-mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lkcm Small-mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lkcm Small Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lkcm Small-mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Lkcm Small-mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lkcm Small-mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lkcm Small Mid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.93% of its assets in stocks

Lkcm Small-mid Technical Analysis

Lkcm Small-mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lkcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lkcm Small Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lkcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lkcm Small-mid Predictive Forecast Models

Lkcm Small-mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lkcm Small-mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lkcm Small-mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lkcm Small Mid

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lkcm Small-mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lkcm Small Mid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.93% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Lkcm Mutual Fund

Lkcm Small-mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lkcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lkcm with respect to the benefits of owning Lkcm Small-mid security.
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