LLOYDS METALS (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 960.92
| LLOYDSME | 968.70 7.45 0.78% |
LLOYDS |
LLOYDS METALS Target Price Odds to finish below 960.92
The tendency of LLOYDS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 960.92 or more in 90 days |
| 968.70 | 90 days | 960.92 | about 71.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LLOYDS METALS to drop to 960.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.72 (This LLOYDS METALS AND probability density function shows the probability of LLOYDS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LLOYDS METALS AND price to stay between 960.92 and its current price of 968.7 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LLOYDS METALS has a beta of 0.7. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LLOYDS METALS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LLOYDS METALS AND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LLOYDS METALS AND has an alpha of 0.2713, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LLOYDS METALS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for LLOYDS METALS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LLOYDS METALS AND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LLOYDS METALS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LLOYDS METALS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LLOYDS METALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LLOYDS METALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LLOYDS METALS AND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LLOYDS METALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 89.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
LLOYDS METALS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LLOYDS METALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LLOYDS METALS AND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LLOYDS METALS AND is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Lloyds Metals and Energy - Simply Wall St |
LLOYDS METALS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LLOYDS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LLOYDS METALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LLOYDS METALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 508.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
LLOYDS METALS Technical Analysis
LLOYDS METALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LLOYDS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LLOYDS METALS AND. In general, you should focus on analyzing LLOYDS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LLOYDS METALS Predictive Forecast Models
LLOYDS METALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many LLOYDS METALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LLOYDS METALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LLOYDS METALS AND
Checking the ongoing alerts about LLOYDS METALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LLOYDS METALS AND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LLOYDS METALS AND is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Lloyds Metals and Energy - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in LLOYDS Stock
LLOYDS METALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether LLOYDS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LLOYDS with respect to the benefits of owning LLOYDS METALS security.