Leeuwin Metals (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0718

LM1 Stock   0.07  0.00  0.00%   
Leeuwin Metals' future price is the expected price of Leeuwin Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Leeuwin Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Leeuwin Metals Backtesting, Leeuwin Metals Valuation, Leeuwin Metals Correlation, Leeuwin Metals Hype Analysis, Leeuwin Metals Volatility, Leeuwin Metals History as well as Leeuwin Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Leeuwin Metals' target price for which you would like Leeuwin Metals odds to be computed.

Leeuwin Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0718

The tendency of Leeuwin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 8.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leeuwin Metals to drop to  0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.22 (This Leeuwin Metals probability density function shows the probability of Leeuwin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leeuwin Metals price to stay between  0.07  and its current price of 0.073 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Leeuwin Metals has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Leeuwin Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Leeuwin Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Leeuwin Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Leeuwin Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leeuwin Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leeuwin Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.072.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.062.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.072.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.070.07
Details

Leeuwin Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leeuwin Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leeuwin Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leeuwin Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leeuwin Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Leeuwin Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leeuwin Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leeuwin Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leeuwin Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leeuwin Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 450.5 K. Net Loss for the year was (922.4 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Leeuwin Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Leeuwin Metals expands iron footprint at West Pilbara Project with rock chip samples up to 54.66 percent iron - Investing.com Australia

Leeuwin Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leeuwin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leeuwin Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leeuwin Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Leeuwin Metals Technical Analysis

Leeuwin Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leeuwin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leeuwin Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leeuwin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Leeuwin Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Leeuwin Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leeuwin Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leeuwin Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Leeuwin Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leeuwin Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leeuwin Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leeuwin Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leeuwin Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 450.5 K. Net Loss for the year was (922.4 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Leeuwin Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Leeuwin Metals expands iron footprint at West Pilbara Project with rock chip samples up to 54.66 percent iron - Investing.com Australia

Additional Tools for Leeuwin Stock Analysis

When running Leeuwin Metals' price analysis, check to measure Leeuwin Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leeuwin Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Leeuwin Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leeuwin Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leeuwin Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leeuwin Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.