Live Motion (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.36

LMG Stock   1.35  0.02  1.50%   
Live Motion's future price is the expected price of Live Motion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Live Motion Games performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Live Motion Backtesting, Live Motion Valuation, Live Motion Correlation, Live Motion Hype Analysis, Live Motion Volatility, Live Motion History as well as Live Motion Performance.
  
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Live Motion Target Price Odds to finish below 1.36

The tendency of Live Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1.36  after 90 days
 1.35 90 days 1.36 
roughly 2.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Live Motion to stay under  1.36  after 90 days from now is roughly 2.07 (This Live Motion Games probability density function shows the probability of Live Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Live Motion Games price to stay between its current price of  1.35  and  1.36  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Live Motion has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Live Motion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Live Motion Games will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Live Motion Games has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Live Motion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Live Motion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Live Motion Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Live Motion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.355.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.315.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.144.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.271.662.06
Details

Live Motion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Live Motion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Live Motion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Live Motion Games, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Live Motion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Live Motion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Live Motion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Live Motion Games can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Live Motion Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Live Motion Games may become a speculative penny stock
Live Motion Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Live Motion Technical Analysis

Live Motion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Live Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Live Motion Games. In general, you should focus on analyzing Live Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Live Motion Predictive Forecast Models

Live Motion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Live Motion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Live Motion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Live Motion Games

Checking the ongoing alerts about Live Motion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Live Motion Games help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Live Motion Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Live Motion Games may become a speculative penny stock
Live Motion Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Live Stock Analysis

When running Live Motion's price analysis, check to measure Live Motion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Live Motion is operating at the current time. Most of Live Motion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Live Motion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Live Motion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Live Motion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.