Langgeng Makmur (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 104.55
| LMPI Stock | IDR 182.00 82.00 82.00% |
Langgeng |
Langgeng Makmur Target Price Odds to finish below 104.55
The tendency of Langgeng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 104.55 or more in 90 days |
| 182.00 | 90 days | 104.55 | about 69.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Langgeng Makmur to drop to 104.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 69.01 (This Langgeng Makmur Industri probability density function shows the probability of Langgeng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Langgeng Makmur Industri price to stay between 104.55 and its current price of 182.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Langgeng Makmur Industri has a beta of -0.54. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Langgeng Makmur are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Langgeng Makmur Industri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Langgeng Makmur Industri has an alpha of 0.9233, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Langgeng Makmur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Langgeng Makmur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Langgeng Makmur Industri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Langgeng Makmur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Langgeng Makmur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Langgeng Makmur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Langgeng Makmur Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Langgeng Makmur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Langgeng Makmur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Langgeng Makmur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Langgeng Makmur Industri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Langgeng Makmur is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Langgeng Makmur appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 568.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.4 B. | |
| Langgeng Makmur Industri has accumulated about 2.37 B in cash with (6.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Langgeng Makmur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Langgeng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Langgeng Makmur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Langgeng Makmur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Langgeng Makmur Technical Analysis
Langgeng Makmur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Langgeng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Langgeng Makmur Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Langgeng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Langgeng Makmur Predictive Forecast Models
Langgeng Makmur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Langgeng Makmur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Langgeng Makmur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Langgeng Makmur Industri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Langgeng Makmur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Langgeng Makmur Industri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Langgeng Makmur is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Langgeng Makmur appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 568.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.4 B. | |
| Langgeng Makmur Industri has accumulated about 2.37 B in cash with (6.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Langgeng Stock
Langgeng Makmur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Langgeng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Langgeng with respect to the benefits of owning Langgeng Makmur security.