Lockheed Martin (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3146.83
| LMTB34 Stock | BRL 3,108 98.71 3.28% |
Lockheed |
Lockheed Martin Target Price Odds to finish below 3146.83
The tendency of Lockheed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 3,147 after 90 days |
| 3,108 | 90 days | 3,147 | about 30.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lockheed Martin to stay under R$ 3,147 after 90 days from now is about 30.72 (This Lockheed Martin probability density function shows the probability of Lockheed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lockheed Martin price to stay between its current price of R$ 3,108 and R$ 3,147 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lockheed Martin has a beta of -0.55. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lockheed Martin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lockheed Martin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lockheed Martin has an alpha of 0.0714, implying that it can generate a 0.0714 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lockheed Martin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lockheed Martin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lockheed Martin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lockheed Martin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lockheed Martin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lockheed Martin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lockheed Martin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lockheed Martin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 111.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Lockheed Martin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lockheed Martin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lockheed Martin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lockheed Martin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Lockheed Martin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lockheed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lockheed Martin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lockheed Martin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254 M |
Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis
Lockheed Martin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lockheed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lockheed Martin. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lockheed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lockheed Martin Predictive Forecast Models
Lockheed Martin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lockheed Martin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lockheed Martin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lockheed Martin
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lockheed Martin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lockheed Martin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lockheed Martin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lockheed Stock
When determining whether Lockheed Martin is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lockheed Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lockheed Martin Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lockheed Martin Stock:Check out Lockheed Martin Backtesting, Lockheed Martin Valuation, Lockheed Martin Correlation, Lockheed Martin Hype Analysis, Lockheed Martin Volatility, Lockheed Martin History as well as Lockheed Martin Performance. For information on how to trade Lockheed Stock refer to our How to Trade Lockheed Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.