Linkbancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| LNKB Stock | USD 7.58 0.25 3.41% |
LINKBANCORP |
LINKBANCORP Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of LINKBANCORP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 7.58 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LINKBANCORP to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LINKBANCORP probability density function shows the probability of LINKBANCORP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LINKBANCORP price to stay between $ 0.06 and its current price of $7.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LINKBANCORP will likely underperform. Additionally LINKBANCORP has an alpha of 0.1306, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LINKBANCORP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LINKBANCORP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LINKBANCORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LINKBANCORP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LINKBANCORP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LINKBANCORP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LINKBANCORP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LINKBANCORP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
LINKBANCORP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LINKBANCORP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LINKBANCORP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LINKBANCORP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.65 M. | |
| LINKBANCORP currently holds about 74.08 M in cash with (10 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.53. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: LINKBANCORP announces quarterly cash dividend |
LINKBANCORP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LINKBANCORP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LINKBANCORP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LINKBANCORP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.6 M |
LINKBANCORP Technical Analysis
LINKBANCORP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LINKBANCORP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LINKBANCORP. In general, you should focus on analyzing LINKBANCORP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LINKBANCORP Predictive Forecast Models
LINKBANCORP's time-series forecasting models is one of many LINKBANCORP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LINKBANCORP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LINKBANCORP
Checking the ongoing alerts about LINKBANCORP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LINKBANCORP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LINKBANCORP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.65 M. | |
| LINKBANCORP currently holds about 74.08 M in cash with (10 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.53. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: LINKBANCORP announces quarterly cash dividend |
Check out LINKBANCORP Backtesting, LINKBANCORP Valuation, LINKBANCORP Correlation, LINKBANCORP Hype Analysis, LINKBANCORP Volatility, LINKBANCORP History as well as LINKBANCORP Performance. For information on how to trade LINKBANCORP Stock refer to our How to Trade LINKBANCORP Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LINKBANCORP. If investors know LINKBANCORP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LINKBANCORP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.488 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share 2.572 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.878 |
The market value of LINKBANCORP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LINKBANCORP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LINKBANCORP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LINKBANCORP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LINKBANCORP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LINKBANCORP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LINKBANCORP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LINKBANCORP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LINKBANCORP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.