Lantheus Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.87
| LNTH Stock | USD 90.52 3.20 3.66% |
Lantheus |
Lantheus Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 98.87
The tendency of Lantheus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 98.87 after 90 days |
| 90.52 | 90 days | 98.87 | about 32.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lantheus Holdings to stay under $ 98.87 after 90 days from now is about 32.66 (This Lantheus Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lantheus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lantheus Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 90.52 and $ 98.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lantheus Holdings has a beta of -1.27. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lantheus Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lantheus Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Lantheus Holdings has an alpha of 0.0314, implying that it can generate a 0.0314 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lantheus Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lantheus Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lantheus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lantheus Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lantheus Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lantheus Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lantheus Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lantheus Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lantheus Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lantheus Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lantheus Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lantheus Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lantheus Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lantheus Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lantheus Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lantheus Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lantheus Holdings Inc Shares Up 4 percent on Nov 22 |
Lantheus Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lantheus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lantheus Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lantheus Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 713.7 M |
Lantheus Holdings Technical Analysis
Lantheus Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lantheus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lantheus Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lantheus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lantheus Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Lantheus Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lantheus Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lantheus Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lantheus Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lantheus Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lantheus Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lantheus Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lantheus Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lantheus Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lantheus Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lantheus Holdings Inc Shares Up 4 percent on Nov 22 |
Check out Lantheus Holdings Backtesting, Lantheus Holdings Valuation, Lantheus Holdings Correlation, Lantheus Holdings Hype Analysis, Lantheus Holdings Volatility, Lantheus Holdings History as well as Lantheus Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Lantheus Stock please use our How to Invest in Lantheus Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lantheus Holdings. If investors know Lantheus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lantheus Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Earnings Share 6.02 | Revenue Per Share 21.687 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.184 | Return On Assets 0.17 |
The market value of Lantheus Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lantheus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lantheus Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lantheus Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lantheus Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lantheus Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lantheus Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lantheus Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lantheus Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.