Lobe Sciences Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.003666

LOBEF Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.21%   
Lobe Sciences' future price is the expected price of Lobe Sciences instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lobe Sciences performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lobe Sciences Backtesting, Lobe Sciences Valuation, Lobe Sciences Correlation, Lobe Sciences Hype Analysis, Lobe Sciences Volatility, Lobe Sciences History as well as Lobe Sciences Performance.
  
Please specify Lobe Sciences' target price for which you would like Lobe Sciences odds to be computed.

Lobe Sciences Target Price Odds to finish below 0.003666

The tendency of Lobe OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0 
about 40.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lobe Sciences to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.75 (This Lobe Sciences probability density function shows the probability of Lobe OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lobe Sciences price to stay between $ 0  and its current price of $0.0129 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lobe Sciences has a beta of -45.92. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lobe Sciences are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lobe Sciences is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Lobe Sciences has an alpha of 115.5305, implying that it can generate a 115.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lobe Sciences Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lobe Sciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lobe Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lobe Sciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.02296.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.00430.010.01
Details

Lobe Sciences Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lobe Sciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lobe Sciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lobe Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lobe Sciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
115.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-45.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.35

Lobe Sciences Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lobe Sciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lobe Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lobe Sciences is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lobe Sciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lobe Sciences appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Lobe Sciences has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 841.56 K.
Lobe Sciences has accumulated about 1.38 M in cash with (2.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Lobe Sciences Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lobe OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lobe Sciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lobe Sciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.5 M
Shares Float73.8 M

Lobe Sciences Technical Analysis

Lobe Sciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lobe OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lobe Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lobe OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lobe Sciences Predictive Forecast Models

Lobe Sciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lobe Sciences' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lobe Sciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lobe Sciences

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lobe Sciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lobe Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lobe Sciences is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lobe Sciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lobe Sciences appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Lobe Sciences has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 841.56 K.
Lobe Sciences has accumulated about 1.38 M in cash with (2.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Lobe OTC Stock

Lobe Sciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lobe OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lobe with respect to the benefits of owning Lobe Sciences security.