Logansport Financial Corp Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 38.75
| LOGNDelisted Stock | USD 40.50 0.00 0.00% |
Logansport |
Logansport Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 38.75
The tendency of Logansport OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 38.75 or more in 90 days |
| 40.50 | 90 days | 38.75 | about 11.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Logansport Financial to drop to $ 38.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.62 (This Logansport Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Logansport OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Logansport Financial Corp price to stay between $ 38.75 and its current price of $40.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Logansport Financial Corp has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Logansport Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Logansport Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Logansport Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.1109, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Logansport Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Logansport Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logansport Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Logansport Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Logansport Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Logansport Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Logansport Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Logansport Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Logansport Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Logansport Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Logansport Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Logansport Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Logansport Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Logansport Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Logansport OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Logansport Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logansport Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 607.5 K |
Logansport Financial Technical Analysis
Logansport Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Logansport OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Logansport Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Logansport OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Logansport Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Logansport Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Logansport Financial's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Logansport Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Logansport Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Logansport Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Logansport Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Logansport Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Logansport Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Logansport Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Logansport Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Logansport OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Logansport Financial Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Logansport Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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