LOREAL ADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.54
| LORA Stock | EUR 66.50 0.50 0.75% |
LOREAL |
LOREAL ADR Target Price Odds to finish below 63.54
The tendency of LOREAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 63.54 or more in 90 days |
| 66.50 | 90 days | 63.54 | roughly 3.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOREAL ADR to drop to € 63.54 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 3.0 (This LOREAL ADR 15EO probability density function shows the probability of LOREAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOREAL ADR 15EO price to stay between € 63.54 and its current price of €66.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LOREAL ADR 15EO has a beta of -0.0911. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LOREAL ADR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LOREAL ADR 15EO is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LOREAL ADR 15EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LOREAL ADR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LOREAL ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOREAL ADR 15EO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LOREAL ADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOREAL ADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOREAL ADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOREAL ADR 15EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOREAL ADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
LOREAL ADR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOREAL ADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOREAL ADR 15EO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LOREAL ADR 15EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
LOREAL ADR Technical Analysis
LOREAL ADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOREAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOREAL ADR 15EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOREAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LOREAL ADR Predictive Forecast Models
LOREAL ADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOREAL ADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOREAL ADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LOREAL ADR 15EO
Checking the ongoing alerts about LOREAL ADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOREAL ADR 15EO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LOREAL ADR 15EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in LOREAL Stock
LOREAL ADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOREAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOREAL with respect to the benefits of owning LOREAL ADR security.