Pacificonline Systems (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.38
| LOTO Stock | 2.94 0.03 1.01% |
Pacificonline |
Pacificonline Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 0.38
The tendency of Pacificonline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.38 or more in 90 days |
| 2.94 | 90 days | 0.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacificonline Systems to drop to 0.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pacificonline Systems probability density function shows the probability of Pacificonline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacificonline Systems price to stay between 0.38 and its current price of 2.94 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pacificonline Systems has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Pacificonline Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacificonline Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pacificonline Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pacificonline Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pacificonline Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacificonline Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pacificonline Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacificonline Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacificonline Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacificonline Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacificonline Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Pacificonline Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacificonline Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacificonline Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pacificonline Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pacificonline Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 426.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (90.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pacificonline Systems has accumulated about 98.64 M in cash with (150.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Pacificonline Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacificonline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacificonline Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacificonline Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 844.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 160.3 M |
Pacificonline Systems Technical Analysis
Pacificonline Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacificonline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacificonline Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacificonline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pacificonline Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Pacificonline Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacificonline Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacificonline Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pacificonline Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacificonline Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacificonline Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pacificonline Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pacificonline Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 426.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (90.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pacificonline Systems has accumulated about 98.64 M in cash with (150.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Pacificonline Stock Analysis
When running Pacificonline Systems' price analysis, check to measure Pacificonline Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pacificonline Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Pacificonline Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pacificonline Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pacificonline Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pacificonline Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.