Lotus Technology Warrants Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.27
| LOTWW Stock | 0.28 0.02 7.69% |
Lotus |
Lotus Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0.27
The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.27 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.27 | about 22.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Technology to drop to 0.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.74 (This Lotus Technology Warrants probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotus Technology Warrants price to stay between 0.27 and its current price of 0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lotus Technology Warrants has a beta of -1.09. This indicates Additionally Lotus Technology Warrants has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lotus Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lotus Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Technology Warrants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lotus Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lotus Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Technology Warrants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Lotus Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Technology Warrants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lotus Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lotus Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lotus Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lotus Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 679.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (750.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lotus Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lotus Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Lotus Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 474.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 426.8 M |
Lotus Technology Technical Analysis
Lotus Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Technology Warrants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lotus Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Lotus Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lotus Technology Warrants
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Technology Warrants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lotus Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lotus Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lotus Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lotus Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 679.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (750.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lotus Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lotus Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Lotus Stock Analysis
When running Lotus Technology's price analysis, check to measure Lotus Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lotus Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Lotus Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lotus Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lotus Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lotus Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.