Lotus Technology Warrants Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.15

LOTWW Stock   0.28  0.03  12.00%   
Lotus Technology's future price is the expected price of Lotus Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lotus Technology Warrants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lotus Technology Backtesting, Lotus Technology Valuation, Lotus Technology Correlation, Lotus Technology Hype Analysis, Lotus Technology Volatility, Lotus Technology History as well as Lotus Technology Performance.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.48 in 2024. Please specify Lotus Technology's target price for which you would like Lotus Technology odds to be computed.

Lotus Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 10.15

The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10.15  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 10.15 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Technology to move over  10.15  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lotus Technology Warrants probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotus Technology Warrants price to stay between its current price of  0.28  and  10.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lotus Technology Warrants has a beta of -0.55. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lotus Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lotus Technology Warrants is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lotus Technology Warrants has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lotus Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lotus Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Technology Warrants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lotus Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.259.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.249.51
Details

Lotus Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Technology Warrants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lotus Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Technology Warrants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lotus Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lotus Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lotus Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 679.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (750.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Lotus Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Lotus Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Lotus Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding474.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments418.9 M

Lotus Technology Technical Analysis

Lotus Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Technology Warrants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lotus Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Lotus Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lotus Technology Warrants

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Technology Warrants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lotus Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lotus Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lotus Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 679.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (750.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Lotus Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Lotus Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Additional Tools for Lotus Stock Analysis

When running Lotus Technology's price analysis, check to measure Lotus Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lotus Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Lotus Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lotus Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lotus Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lotus Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.