Spark Networks SE Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.27
| LOVDelisted Stock | USD 0.28 0.05 21.74% |
Spark |
Spark Networks Target Price Odds to finish below 0.27
The tendency of Spark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.27 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.27 | about 5.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spark Networks to drop to $ 0.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.97 (This Spark Networks SE probability density function shows the probability of Spark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spark Networks SE price to stay between $ 0.27 and its current price of $0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Spark Networks SE has a beta of -0.0536. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Spark Networks are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Spark Networks SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Spark Networks SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Spark Networks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Spark Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spark Networks SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Spark Networks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spark Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spark Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spark Networks SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spark Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Spark Networks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spark Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spark Networks SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Spark Networks SE is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Spark Networks SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Spark Networks SE has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Spark Networks SE has 96.23 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.98, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Spark Networks SE has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 187.76 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.19 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 84.93 M. | |
| Spark Networks SE has about 11.35 M in cash with (9.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Spark Networks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spark Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spark Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.4 M |
Spark Networks Technical Analysis
Spark Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spark Networks SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Spark Networks Predictive Forecast Models
Spark Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Spark Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spark Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Spark Networks SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Spark Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spark Networks SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Spark Networks SE is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Spark Networks SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Spark Networks SE has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Spark Networks SE has 96.23 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.98, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Spark Networks SE has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 187.76 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.19 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 84.93 M. | |
| Spark Networks SE has about 11.35 M in cash with (9.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Other Consideration for investing in Spark Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Spark Networks SE check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Spark Networks' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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