Lowell Farms Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02

LOWLF Stock  USD 0.02  0  13.33%   
Lowell Farms' future price is the expected price of Lowell Farms instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lowell Farms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lowell Farms Backtesting, Lowell Farms Valuation, Lowell Farms Correlation, Lowell Farms Hype Analysis, Lowell Farms Volatility, Lowell Farms History as well as Lowell Farms Performance.
  
Please specify Lowell Farms' target price for which you would like Lowell Farms odds to be computed.

Lowell Farms Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02

The tendency of Lowell OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.02  after 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 83.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lowell Farms to stay under $ 0.02  after 90 days from now is about 83.86 (This Lowell Farms probability density function shows the probability of Lowell OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lowell Farms price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02  and $ 0.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lowell Farms has a beta of -5.02. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lowell Farms are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lowell Farms is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Lowell Farms has an alpha of 4.8727, implying that it can generate a 4.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lowell Farms Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lowell Farms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowell Farms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0229.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0229.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0229.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.02
Details

Lowell Farms Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lowell Farms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lowell Farms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lowell Farms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lowell Farms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones-5.02
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Lowell Farms Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lowell Farms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lowell Farms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowell Farms is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lowell Farms has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lowell Farms appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Lowell Farms has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 53.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.48 M.
Lowell Farms has accumulated about 2.75 M in cash with (26.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lowell Farms Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lowell OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lowell Farms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowell Farms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.3 M
Short Long Term Debt221 K

Lowell Farms Technical Analysis

Lowell Farms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lowell OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lowell Farms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lowell OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lowell Farms Predictive Forecast Models

Lowell Farms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lowell Farms' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lowell Farms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lowell Farms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lowell Farms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lowell Farms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowell Farms is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lowell Farms has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lowell Farms appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Lowell Farms has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 53.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.48 M.
Lowell Farms has accumulated about 2.75 M in cash with (26.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lowell OTC Stock

Lowell Farms financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lowell OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lowell with respect to the benefits of owning Lowell Farms security.