Lotus Retail (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.31
| LPF Stock | THB 12.70 0.00 0.00% |
Lotus |
Lotus Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 7.31
The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.31 or more in 90 days |
| 12.70 | 90 days | 7.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Retail to drop to 7.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lotus Retail Growth probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotus Retail Growth price to stay between 7.31 and its current price of 12.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lotus Retail has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lotus Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lotus Retail Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lotus Retail Growth has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007879 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lotus Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lotus Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Retail Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lotus Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Retail Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Lotus Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Retail Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lotus Retail Growth is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Lotus Retail Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lotus Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B |
Lotus Retail Technical Analysis
Lotus Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Retail Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lotus Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Lotus Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lotus Retail Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Retail Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lotus Retail Growth is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Lotus Retail Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lotus Stock
Lotus Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotus with respect to the benefits of owning Lotus Retail security.