Multi Prima (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 440.00

LPIN Stock  IDR 400.00  4.00  0.99%   
Multi Prima's future price is the expected price of Multi Prima instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Prima Sejahtera performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi Prima Backtesting, Multi Prima Valuation, Multi Prima Correlation, Multi Prima Hype Analysis, Multi Prima Volatility, Multi Prima History as well as Multi Prima Performance.
  
Please specify Multi Prima's target price for which you would like Multi Prima odds to be computed.

Multi Prima Target Price Odds to finish over 440.00

The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  440.00  or more in 90 days
 400.00 90 days 440.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Prima to move over  440.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Multi Prima Sejahtera probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Prima Sejahtera price to stay between its current price of  400.00  and  440.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Prima Sejahtera has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multi Prima are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multi Prima Sejahtera is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Multi Prima Sejahtera has an alpha of 0.1871, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multi Prima Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi Prima

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Prima Sejahtera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
398.34400.00401.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
330.98332.64440.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
390.66392.32393.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
384.34403.17422.00
Details

Multi Prima Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Prima is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Prima's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Prima Sejahtera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Prima within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
19.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Multi Prima Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Prima for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Prima Sejahtera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Multi Prima Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multi Prima's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multi Prima's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding425 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.8 B

Multi Prima Technical Analysis

Multi Prima's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Prima Sejahtera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi Prima Predictive Forecast Models

Multi Prima's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Prima's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Prima's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Prima Sejahtera

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Prima for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Prima Sejahtera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock

Multi Prima financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Prima security.