Lupaka Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.55
| LPK Stock | CAD 0.07 0.01 7.14% |
Lupaka |
Lupaka Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 20.55
The tendency of Lupaka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 20.55 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 20.55 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lupaka Gold to move over C$ 20.55 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lupaka Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lupaka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lupaka Gold Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.07 and C$ 20.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lupaka Gold has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lupaka Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lupaka Gold Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lupaka Gold Corp has an alpha of 0.6867, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lupaka Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lupaka Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lupaka Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lupaka Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lupaka Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lupaka Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lupaka Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lupaka Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Lupaka Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lupaka Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lupaka Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lupaka Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has accumulated 687.45 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lupaka Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lupaka Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lupaka Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lupaka Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lupaka to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lupaka Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (166.72 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has accumulated about 19.91 K in cash with (178.45 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lupaka Gold receives 5.7 mln from sale of non-core asset to GoldMining - Reuters |
Lupaka Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lupaka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lupaka Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lupaka Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.5 M |
Lupaka Gold Technical Analysis
Lupaka Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lupaka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lupaka Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lupaka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lupaka Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Lupaka Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lupaka Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lupaka Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lupaka Gold Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lupaka Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lupaka Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lupaka Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has accumulated 687.45 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lupaka Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lupaka Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lupaka Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lupaka Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lupaka to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lupaka Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (166.72 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lupaka Gold Corp has accumulated about 19.91 K in cash with (178.45 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lupaka Gold receives 5.7 mln from sale of non-core asset to GoldMining - Reuters |
Additional Tools for Lupaka Stock Analysis
When running Lupaka Gold's price analysis, check to measure Lupaka Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lupaka Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Lupaka Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lupaka Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lupaka Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lupaka Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.