Liveperson Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.08
| LPSN Stock | USD 0.97 0.02 2.11% |
LivePerson |
LivePerson Target Price Odds to finish below 1.08
The tendency of LivePerson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.08 after 90 days |
| 0.97 | 90 days | 1.08 | about 49.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LivePerson to stay under $ 1.08 after 90 days from now is about 49.88 (This LivePerson probability density function shows the probability of LivePerson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LivePerson price to stay between its current price of $ 0.97 and $ 1.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LivePerson will likely underperform. Additionally LivePerson has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LivePerson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LivePerson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LivePerson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LivePerson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LivePerson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LivePerson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LivePerson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LivePerson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LivePerson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
LivePerson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LivePerson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LivePerson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LivePerson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LivePerson has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LivePerson has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 401.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 330.1 M. | |
| LivePerson currently holds about 425.94 M in cash with (19.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| LivePerson has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in LivePerson, Inc. Declines By 25.1 |
LivePerson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LivePerson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LivePerson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LivePerson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 210.8 M |
LivePerson Technical Analysis
LivePerson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LivePerson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LivePerson. In general, you should focus on analyzing LivePerson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LivePerson Predictive Forecast Models
LivePerson's time-series forecasting models is one of many LivePerson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LivePerson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LivePerson
Checking the ongoing alerts about LivePerson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LivePerson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LivePerson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LivePerson has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LivePerson has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 401.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 330.1 M. | |
| LivePerson currently holds about 425.94 M in cash with (19.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| LivePerson has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in LivePerson, Inc. Declines By 25.1 |
Check out LivePerson Backtesting, LivePerson Valuation, LivePerson Correlation, LivePerson Hype Analysis, LivePerson Volatility, LivePerson History as well as LivePerson Performance. To learn how to invest in LivePerson Stock, please use our How to Invest in LivePerson guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LivePerson. If investors know LivePerson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LivePerson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.75) | Revenue Per Share 3.826 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (1.38) |
The market value of LivePerson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LivePerson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LivePerson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LivePerson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LivePerson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LivePerson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LivePerson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LivePerson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LivePerson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.