Lam Research Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 69.21
| LRCX Stock | USD 72.64 0.49 0.67% |
Lam |
Lam Research Target Price Odds to finish below 69.21
The tendency of Lam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 69.21 or more in 90 days |
| 72.64 | 90 days | 69.21 | roughly 2.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lam Research to drop to $ 69.21 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.04 (This Lam Research Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lam Research Corp price to stay between $ 69.21 and its current price of $72.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lam Research will likely underperform. Additionally Lam Research Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lam Research Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lam Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lam Research Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lam Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lam Research Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lam Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lam Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lam Research Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lam Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Lam Research Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lam Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lam Research Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lam Research Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lam Research Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lam Research Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Lam Research paid $ 2.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Hedge Funds Pitch Short, Activist and Long Bets at Sohn London |
Lam Research Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lam Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lam Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 B |
Lam Research Technical Analysis
Lam Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lam Research Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lam Research Predictive Forecast Models
Lam Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lam Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lam Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lam Research Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lam Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lam Research Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lam Research Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lam Research Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lam Research Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Lam Research paid $ 2.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Hedge Funds Pitch Short, Activist and Long Bets at Sohn London |
Additional Tools for Lam Stock Analysis
When running Lam Research's price analysis, check to measure Lam Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lam Research is operating at the current time. Most of Lam Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lam Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lam Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lam Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.