Lar Espana (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.19

LRE Stock  EUR 8.14  0.04  0.49%   
Lar Espana's future price is the expected price of Lar Espana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lar Espana Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lar Espana Backtesting, Lar Espana Valuation, Lar Espana Correlation, Lar Espana Hype Analysis, Lar Espana Volatility, Lar Espana History as well as Lar Espana Performance.
  
Please specify Lar Espana's target price for which you would like Lar Espana odds to be computed.

Lar Espana Target Price Odds to finish over 7.19

The tendency of Lar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 7.19  in 90 days
 8.14 90 days 7.19 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lar Espana to stay above € 7.19  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lar Espana Real probability density function shows the probability of Lar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lar Espana Real price to stay between € 7.19  and its current price of €8.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lar Espana has a beta of 0.0566. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lar Espana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lar Espana Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lar Espana Real has an alpha of 0.011, implying that it can generate a 0.011 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lar Espana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lar Espana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lar Espana Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.588.148.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.588.148.71
Details

Lar Espana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lar Espana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lar Espana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lar Espana Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lar Espana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Lar Espana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lar Espana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lar Espana Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €763.57 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lar Espana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lar Espana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lar Espana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.6 M

Lar Espana Technical Analysis

Lar Espana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lar Espana Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lar Espana Predictive Forecast Models

Lar Espana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lar Espana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lar Espana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lar Espana Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lar Espana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lar Espana Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €763.57 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lar Stock

Lar Espana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lar with respect to the benefits of owning Lar Espana security.