LESTE FDO (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 75.94
| LSAG11 Fund | 75.31 0.54 0.71% |
LESTE |
LESTE FDO Target Price Odds to finish over 75.94
The tendency of LESTE Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 75.94 or more in 90 days |
| 75.31 | 90 days | 75.94 | about 81.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LESTE FDO to move over 75.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.33 (This LESTE FDO INV probability density function shows the probability of LESTE Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LESTE FDO INV price to stay between its current price of 75.31 and 75.94 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LESTE FDO INV has a beta of -0.0738. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LESTE FDO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LESTE FDO INV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LESTE FDO INV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LESTE FDO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LESTE FDO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LESTE FDO INV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LESTE FDO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LESTE FDO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LESTE FDO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LESTE FDO INV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LESTE FDO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
LESTE FDO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LESTE FDO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LESTE FDO INV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LESTE FDO INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
LESTE FDO Technical Analysis
LESTE FDO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LESTE Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LESTE FDO INV. In general, you should focus on analyzing LESTE Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LESTE FDO Predictive Forecast Models
LESTE FDO's time-series forecasting models is one of many LESTE FDO's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LESTE FDO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LESTE FDO INV
Checking the ongoing alerts about LESTE FDO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LESTE FDO INV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LESTE FDO INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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