Lesico (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 318.79

LSCO Stock   313.20  0.70  0.22%   
Lesico's future price is the expected price of Lesico instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lesico performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lesico Backtesting, Lesico Valuation, Lesico Correlation, Lesico Hype Analysis, Lesico Volatility, Lesico History as well as Lesico Performance.
  
Please specify Lesico's target price for which you would like Lesico odds to be computed.

Lesico Target Price Odds to finish below 318.79

The tendency of Lesico Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  318.79  after 90 days
 313.20 90 days 318.79 
about 89.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lesico to stay under  318.79  after 90 days from now is about 89.18 (This Lesico probability density function shows the probability of Lesico Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lesico price to stay between its current price of  313.20  and  318.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lesico has a beta of 0.0875. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lesico average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lesico will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lesico has an alpha of 0.1138, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lesico Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lesico

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lesico. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
310.95313.20315.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
253.86256.11344.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
296.05298.29300.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
312.31312.97313.63
Details

Lesico Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lesico is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lesico's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lesico, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lesico within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
19.14
Ir
Information ratio 0

Lesico Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lesico for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lesico can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lesico generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 766.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.36 M.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lesico Technical Analysis

Lesico's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lesico Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lesico. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lesico Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lesico Predictive Forecast Models

Lesico's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lesico's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lesico's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lesico

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lesico for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lesico help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lesico generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 766.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.36 M.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lesico Stock

Lesico financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lesico Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lesico with respect to the benefits of owning Lesico security.