Landsea Homes Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.19
| LSEAW Stock | USD 0.22 0.02 10.00% |
Landsea |
Landsea Homes Target Price Odds to finish below 0.19
The tendency of Landsea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.19 or more in 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 0.19 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Landsea Homes to drop to $ 0.19 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Landsea Homes probability density function shows the probability of Landsea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Landsea Homes price to stay between $ 0.19 and its current price of $0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Landsea Homes has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Landsea Homes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Landsea Homes will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Landsea Homes has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Landsea Homes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Landsea Homes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landsea Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Landsea Homes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Landsea Homes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Landsea Homes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Landsea Homes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Landsea Homes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Landsea Homes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Landsea Homes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Landsea Homes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Landsea Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Landsea Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Landsea Homes has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Landsea Homes Expands with 14,725-sq-ft HQ in Dallas-Fort Worth, Adding Design Studio LSEA Stock News - StockTitan |
Landsea Homes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Landsea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Landsea Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landsea Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.6 M |
Landsea Homes Technical Analysis
Landsea Homes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Landsea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Landsea Homes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Landsea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Landsea Homes Predictive Forecast Models
Landsea Homes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Landsea Homes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Landsea Homes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Landsea Homes
Checking the ongoing alerts about Landsea Homes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Landsea Homes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Landsea Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Landsea Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Landsea Homes has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Landsea Homes Expands with 14,725-sq-ft HQ in Dallas-Fort Worth, Adding Design Studio LSEA Stock News - StockTitan |
Additional Tools for Landsea Stock Analysis
When running Landsea Homes' price analysis, check to measure Landsea Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Landsea Homes is operating at the current time. Most of Landsea Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Landsea Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Landsea Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Landsea Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.