Liberty Media Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.95
| LSXMKDelisted Stock | USD 22.29 0.00 0.00% |
Liberty |
Liberty Media Target Price Odds to finish over 18.95
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 18.95 in 90 days |
| 22.29 | 90 days | 18.95 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Media to stay above $ 18.95 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Liberty Media probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liberty Media price to stay between $ 18.95 and its current price of $22.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Liberty Media has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liberty Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liberty Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liberty Media has an alpha of 0.1101, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liberty Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0032 |
Liberty Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liberty Media is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Liberty Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Liberty Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Liberty Media has accumulated 11.66 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Liberty Media has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Liberty Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Liberty Media shares are owned by institutional investors |
Liberty Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liberty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liberty Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 352 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 306 M |
Liberty Media Technical Analysis
Liberty Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Media Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liberty Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Liberty Media is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Liberty Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Liberty Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Liberty Media has accumulated 11.66 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Liberty Media has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Liberty Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Liberty Media shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in Liberty Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Liberty Media check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Liberty Media's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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