Grayscale Litecoin Trust Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 13.62

LTCN Stock  USD 14.25  0.94  7.06%   
Grayscale Litecoin Trust's future price is the expected price of Grayscale Litecoin Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grayscale Litecoin Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grayscale Litecoin Trust Backtesting, Grayscale Litecoin Trust Valuation, Grayscale Litecoin Trust Correlation, Grayscale Litecoin Trust Hype Analysis, Grayscale Litecoin Trust Volatility, Grayscale Litecoin Trust History as well as Grayscale Litecoin Trust Performance.
  
Please specify Grayscale Litecoin Trust's target price for which you would like Grayscale Litecoin Trust odds to be computed.

Grayscale Litecoin Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 13.62

The tendency of Grayscale OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.62  or more in 90 days
 14.25 90 days 13.62 
about 40.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grayscale Litecoin Trust to drop to $ 13.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.58 (This Grayscale Litecoin Trust probability density function shows the probability of Grayscale OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grayscale Litecoin Trust price to stay between $ 13.62  and its current price of $14.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.18 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Grayscale Litecoin Trust will likely underperform. Additionally Grayscale Litecoin Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grayscale Litecoin Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grayscale Litecoin Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grayscale Litecoin Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grayscale Litecoin Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.2014.2521.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.9311.9819.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.5813.6220.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5614.7016.85
Details

Grayscale Litecoin Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grayscale Litecoin Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grayscale Litecoin Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grayscale Litecoin Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grayscale Litecoin Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Grayscale Litecoin Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grayscale Litecoin Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grayscale Litecoin Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Litecoin Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Grayscale Litecoin Trust Technical Analysis

Grayscale Litecoin Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grayscale OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grayscale Litecoin Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grayscale OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grayscale Litecoin Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Grayscale Litecoin Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grayscale Litecoin Trust's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grayscale Litecoin Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grayscale Litecoin Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grayscale Litecoin Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grayscale Litecoin Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Litecoin Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Grayscale OTC Stock

Grayscale Litecoin Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grayscale OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grayscale with respect to the benefits of owning Grayscale Litecoin Trust security.