Lantern Pharma Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.66
| LTRN Stock | USD 3.21 0.10 3.22% |
Lantern |
Lantern Pharma Target Price Odds to finish below 3.66
The tendency of Lantern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.66 after 90 days |
| 3.21 | 90 days | 3.66 | about 65.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lantern Pharma to stay under $ 3.66 after 90 days from now is about 65.39 (This Lantern Pharma probability density function shows the probability of Lantern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lantern Pharma price to stay between its current price of $ 3.21 and $ 3.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lantern Pharma will likely underperform. Additionally Lantern Pharma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lantern Pharma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lantern Pharma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lantern Pharma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lantern Pharma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lantern Pharma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lantern Pharma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lantern Pharma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lantern Pharma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Lantern Pharma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lantern Pharma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lantern Pharma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lantern Pharma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lantern Pharma has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (15.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lantern Pharma currently holds about 62.15 M in cash with (14.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lantern Pharma has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Lantern Pharma Starlight Therapeutics Present LP-184 Phase 1b Trial Design and Preclinical Data in Glioblastoma at Society for Neuro-Oncology 2024 Highlighting Novel Synthetic Lethality |
Lantern Pharma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lantern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lantern Pharma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lantern Pharma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.3 M |
Lantern Pharma Technical Analysis
Lantern Pharma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lantern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lantern Pharma. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lantern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lantern Pharma Predictive Forecast Models
Lantern Pharma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lantern Pharma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lantern Pharma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lantern Pharma
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lantern Pharma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lantern Pharma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lantern Pharma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lantern Pharma has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (15.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Lantern Pharma currently holds about 62.15 M in cash with (14.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lantern Pharma has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Lantern Pharma Starlight Therapeutics Present LP-184 Phase 1b Trial Design and Preclinical Data in Glioblastoma at Society for Neuro-Oncology 2024 Highlighting Novel Synthetic Lethality |
Check out Lantern Pharma Backtesting, Lantern Pharma Valuation, Lantern Pharma Correlation, Lantern Pharma Hype Analysis, Lantern Pharma Volatility, Lantern Pharma History as well as Lantern Pharma Performance. To learn how to invest in Lantern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lantern Pharma guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lantern Pharma. If investors know Lantern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lantern Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.78) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (0.45) |
The market value of Lantern Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lantern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lantern Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lantern Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lantern Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lantern Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lantern Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lantern Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lantern Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.