Lotus Resources Limited Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.16

LTSRF Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  6.67%   
Lotus Resources' future price is the expected price of Lotus Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lotus Resources Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lotus Resources Backtesting, Lotus Resources Valuation, Lotus Resources Correlation, Lotus Resources Hype Analysis, Lotus Resources Volatility, Lotus Resources History as well as Lotus Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Lotus Resources' target price for which you would like Lotus Resources odds to be computed.

Lotus Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.16

The tendency of Lotus OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.16 90 days 0.16 
about 14.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Resources to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 14.93 (This Lotus Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lotus OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lotus Resources has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lotus Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lotus Resources Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lotus Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.0348, implying that it can generate a 0.0348 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lotus Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lotus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.165.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.145.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.185.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.140.160.17
Details

Lotus Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Lotus Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lotus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lotus Resources Limited has accumulated 10.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lotus Resources has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lotus Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lotus Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lotus Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lotus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lotus Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 166.93 K. Net Loss for the year was (12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.75 K.
Lotus Resources Limited has accumulated about 4.88 M in cash with (9.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 22.0% of Lotus Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lotus Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.9 M

Lotus Resources Technical Analysis

Lotus Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lotus Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Lotus Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lotus Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lotus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lotus Resources Limited has accumulated 10.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lotus Resources has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lotus Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lotus Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lotus Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lotus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lotus Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 166.93 K. Net Loss for the year was (12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.75 K.
Lotus Resources Limited has accumulated about 4.88 M in cash with (9.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 22.0% of Lotus Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lotus OTC Stock

Lotus Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotus with respect to the benefits of owning Lotus Resources security.