Deutsche Lufthansa (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2630.00
| LUFTH Stock | 2,630 0.00 0.00% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Lufthansa Target Price Odds to finish over 2630.00
The tendency of Deutsche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,630 | 90 days | 2,630 | about 27.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Lufthansa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.71 (This Deutsche Lufthansa AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Deutsche Lufthansa will likely underperform. In addition to that Deutsche Lufthansa AG has an alpha of 1170.7539, implying that it can generate a 1170.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Deutsche Lufthansa Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Deutsche Lufthansa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Lufthansa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Lufthansa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Lufthansa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Lufthansa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Lufthansa.Deutsche Lufthansa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Lufthansa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Lufthansa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Lufthansa AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Lufthansa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1,171 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 454.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Deutsche Lufthansa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Lufthansa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Lufthansa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Lufthansa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |
Deutsche Lufthansa Technical Analysis
Deutsche Lufthansa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Lufthansa AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Lufthansa Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Lufthansa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Lufthansa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Lufthansa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Lufthansa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Lufthansa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Lufthansa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Lufthansa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |