Lumbee Guaranty Bank Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 4.26
| LUMB Stock | USD 13.00 1.10 9.24% |
Lumbee |
Lumbee Guaranty Target Price Odds to finish below 4.26
The tendency of Lumbee OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.26 or more in 90 days |
| 13.00 | 90 days | 4.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lumbee Guaranty to drop to $ 4.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lumbee Guaranty Bank probability density function shows the probability of Lumbee OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lumbee Guaranty Bank price to stay between $ 4.26 and its current price of $13.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lumbee Guaranty Bank has a beta of -0.0269. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lumbee Guaranty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lumbee Guaranty Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lumbee Guaranty Bank has an alpha of 0.0694, implying that it can generate a 0.0694 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lumbee Guaranty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lumbee Guaranty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lumbee Guaranty Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lumbee Guaranty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lumbee Guaranty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lumbee Guaranty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lumbee Guaranty Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lumbee Guaranty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Lumbee Guaranty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lumbee OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lumbee Guaranty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lumbee Guaranty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M |
Lumbee Guaranty Technical Analysis
Lumbee Guaranty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lumbee OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lumbee Guaranty Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lumbee OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lumbee Guaranty Predictive Forecast Models
Lumbee Guaranty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lumbee Guaranty's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lumbee Guaranty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lumbee Guaranty in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lumbee Guaranty's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lumbee Guaranty options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Lumbee OTC Stock
Lumbee Guaranty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lumbee OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lumbee with respect to the benefits of owning Lumbee Guaranty security.