Lundin Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.67

LUN Stock  CAD 13.74  0.02  0.15%   
Lundin Mining's future price is the expected price of Lundin Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lundin Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lundin Mining Backtesting, Lundin Mining Valuation, Lundin Mining Correlation, Lundin Mining Hype Analysis, Lundin Mining Volatility, Lundin Mining History as well as Lundin Mining Performance.
  
At this time, Lundin Mining's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.28, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 18.54. Please specify Lundin Mining's target price for which you would like Lundin Mining odds to be computed.

Lundin Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 13.67

The tendency of Lundin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 13.67  or more in 90 days
 13.74 90 days 13.67 
about 50.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lundin Mining to drop to C$ 13.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.26 (This Lundin Mining probability density function shows the probability of Lundin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lundin Mining price to stay between C$ 13.67  and its current price of C$13.74 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lundin Mining will likely underperform. Additionally Lundin Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lundin Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lundin Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lundin Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2413.7416.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7811.2813.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1113.6116.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.130.15
Details

Lundin Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lundin Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lundin Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lundin Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lundin Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lundin Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lundin Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lundin Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lundin Mining Co. Announces Dividend of 0.06 - MarketBeat

Lundin Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lundin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lundin Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding772.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments268.8 M

Lundin Mining Technical Analysis

Lundin Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lundin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lundin Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lundin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lundin Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Lundin Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lundin Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lundin Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lundin Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lundin Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lundin Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lundin Mining Co. Announces Dividend of 0.06 - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Lundin Stock

Lundin Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Mining security.