Lupatech (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.42
| LUPA3 Stock | BRL 1.32 0.01 0.76% |
Lupatech |
Lupatech Target Price Odds to finish below 1.42
The tendency of Lupatech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 1.42 after 90 days |
| 1.32 | 90 days | 1.42 | about 42.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lupatech to stay under R$ 1.42 after 90 days from now is about 42.44 (This Lupatech SA probability density function shows the probability of Lupatech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lupatech SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 1.32 and R$ 1.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lupatech has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lupatech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lupatech SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lupatech SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lupatech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lupatech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lupatech SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lupatech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lupatech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lupatech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lupatech SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lupatech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Lupatech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lupatech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lupatech SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lupatech SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lupatech SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lupatech SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lupatech SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 93.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.24 M. | |
| Lupatech SA has accumulated about 17.9 M in cash with (14.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lupatech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lupatech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lupatech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lupatech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.2 M |
Lupatech Technical Analysis
Lupatech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lupatech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lupatech SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lupatech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lupatech Predictive Forecast Models
Lupatech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lupatech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lupatech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lupatech SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lupatech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lupatech SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lupatech SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lupatech SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lupatech SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lupatech SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 93.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.24 M. | |
| Lupatech SA has accumulated about 17.9 M in cash with (14.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Lupatech Stock Analysis
When running Lupatech's price analysis, check to measure Lupatech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lupatech is operating at the current time. Most of Lupatech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lupatech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lupatech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lupatech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.