Luz Del (Peru) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.81
| LUSURC1 Stock | 16.50 1.20 7.84% |
Luz |
Luz Del Target Price Odds to finish over 15.81
The tendency of Luz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 15.81 in 90 days |
| 16.50 | 90 days | 15.81 | about 28.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luz Del to stay above 15.81 in 90 days from now is about 28.69 (This Luz del Sur probability density function shows the probability of Luz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luz del Sur price to stay between 15.81 and its current price of 16.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luz Del has a beta of 0.0199. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Luz Del average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luz del Sur will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luz del Sur has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Luz Del Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luz Del
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luz del Sur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luz Del Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luz Del is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luz Del's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luz del Sur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luz Del within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0035 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Luz Del Technical Analysis
Luz Del's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luz del Sur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luz Del Predictive Forecast Models
Luz Del's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luz Del's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luz Del's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Luz Del in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Luz Del's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Luz Del options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Luz Stock
Luz Del financial ratios help investors to determine whether Luz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Luz with respect to the benefits of owning Luz Del security.