Lavide Holding (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.36
| LVIDE Stock | EUR 0.36 0.01 2.70% |
Lavide |
Lavide Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 0.36
The tendency of Lavide Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.36 | 90 days | 0.36 | about 37.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lavide Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.39 (This Lavide Holding NV probability density function shows the probability of Lavide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lavide Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Lavide Holding NV has an alpha of 0.5708, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lavide Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lavide Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lavide Holding NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lavide Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lavide Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lavide Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lavide Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lavide Holding NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lavide Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Lavide Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lavide Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lavide Holding NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lavide Holding NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lavide Holding NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lavide Holding NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lavide Holding NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lavide Holding NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (50 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52 K). | |
| Lavide Holding NV has accumulated about 464 K in cash with (59 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lavide Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lavide Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lavide Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lavide Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 M | |
| Shares Float | 4.9 M |
Lavide Holding Technical Analysis
Lavide Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lavide Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lavide Holding NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lavide Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lavide Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Lavide Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lavide Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lavide Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lavide Holding NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lavide Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lavide Holding NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lavide Holding NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lavide Holding NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lavide Holding NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lavide Holding NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lavide Holding NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (50 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52 K). | |
| Lavide Holding NV has accumulated about 464 K in cash with (59 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lavide Stock
Lavide Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lavide Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lavide with respect to the benefits of owning Lavide Holding security.